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PART-9 沙漠里的洪水 2009/08/29

PART-9   沙漠里的洪水

From Black | White Trips

不过,他望着那个咖啡馆若有所思的看了很长时间。趁着丫头还在叽叽喳喳给她朋友打电话的时候,他给她还给那个有着古怪名字的咖啡馆拍了几张照片。

上帝(或者魔鬼?)有的时候会给他安排一点好玩的情节。有的时候,时间细节都会给他安排的好好的,而且特别紧湊,沒有中场休息。有时剧情之迭荡起伏让人诧异,如同一部实时开拍的电影。

有一次是在香港。剧中人石头演了好几个场景,就演自己。身在其中,却全然不知道下面会发生什么事情。最后上帝才给他开示结局。让他恍然大悟。

还有一次在上海。一切怪异的情节都在提示他什么人正在狂写剧本。然而他却全然无法控制自己。等到该发生的都发生了,沒有几个选项可以选的时候,他才发现,原来前面全是铺垫,只是为了通向这个无路可逃的结局。

他气得半死。然而只能看着上帝(魔鬼)在天空里偷笑,无计可施之下。也只能苦笑着接受。

这一次又是这样。

之前的早上,坐在黄色的CAB上横穿W特区的时候,他突然就从一堆标牌里看到了这家咖啡馆。

那个时候,丫头似乎在跟他说什么,语气带着一丝慵懒。因为她之前十分认真的游泳兼日光浴,有点把自己给累着了。

石头正心猿意马的一半看街景,一半想她刚才穿的白色比基尼,另外的三分之一在跟她闲聊。然后他就在车上看到了这家咖啡馆。

“好古怪的名字”。当时一个念头闪过他的大脑。

随后他就忘了。今天他的身份是摄影师。他借这个“衔头”,开始目不转睛,厚颜无耻,痛不欲生的转过头去看丫头。

他看到她的额头上的一个青春痘。不过暇不掩玉,她的皮肤光泽和色调都非常好。头发披散下来以后,就特别有质感和光泽,也很有女人味。不笑的时候,她的脸上表情比较贫乏。但是当她笑起来的时候,有种特别的顽皮。整个人会一下魅力大增。足以倾倒一堆男生。

石头开始跟她打P。东拉西扯,问一些稀奇古怪的问题。希望能够让她整个人放松起来。今天他是摄影师,而摄影师最好能够打开模特的心扉,让她们最美的一面展开出来。

可惜石头还不是很专业,沒聊几句,还沒开始热身,丫头的家就到了,只能作罢。

丫头明显有点兴奋,也有点紧张。这却不是石头想要的。他想要的是那种信任感和水乳交融的一种愉快的感觉。

但是丫头是一个很有主见的女孩。石头又是那种在女人面前特别绅士的人。所以只能大事小事依着她作主。

她以急行军的速度作完了一切准备。“啪”。短暂的如同一声击掌。两个人转眼又在大街上了。

“我们去哪里?”她转过身来问石头。

“我们要去一个有水和有大片绿色的地方”。石头看着她的牙齿说。

她的牙齿也很漂亮,如同小小的贝壳。唇上有一丝的高光。

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里程8-迷失的花园 2009/08/28

里程8-迷失的花园

阳光打在地上 | 并不见得 | 我的胸口在疼 | 疼又怎样|阳光打在地上———— —海子

From Black | White Trips

丫头神气活现地坐在小小的咖啡桌的那头。不知为什么,她的眼睛一直很有穿透力。有的时候,石头会觉得与她对视的时候,会被看到他内心里隐藏的许多秘密。

所以石头撤回了目光,茫然的盯着咖啡馆3点钟方向左手边三厘米处的一片墙壁,陷入了沉思。那是一片毫无暇疵的油漆。

大人了,心里会有很多的念头存着。时不时的想出来思考一下。石头从来都是一个心思很重的人。

可是,除了见到他这里晃晃那里转转,公开申明在考察根据地建在什么地方之外,沒见到他真正干一件实事。

就在他人生特别茫然不决的时候,他遇到了丫头。那是一个特别炎热的初夏之交。

丫头在一片灿烂的阳光中走来,“你好。我是丫头。”她用特别标准的普通话过来打招呼。

声音很好听。有一种质感。

石头吃了一惊。他正在荷兰银行的投资银行部门里。第一次来这种地方,他觉得有些不习惯。因为要做的项目上,他并不是很了解。

但是却要装成是他可以决定一切。

他正在打算把自己藏在某处,静静的观察环境,听听周边的人在讨论什么,然后决定演这个角色。

丫头向他伸出了右手——“我是全球总部。在这个项目有一些东西需要我们部门的协作。”

石头象一个一心想潜伏,却被路人甲看到的狙击手一样特别扫兴,特别不专业,特别尴尬地站了起来。

“我是石头。”。

丫头有点好奇的看着他。不过开了一会的会以后,过完了她所协作的部分,她就风风火火地去忙自己的事情去了。

后来有几次,因为同样的一个项目,石头跑出好几次荷兰银行。每一次,他都很巧的遇到丫头。

过了几天,一份基本情报出现在石头的数据库里:S省的女孩。英语非常好。自信。高效。

她总是很直率。有的时候,直率让人吃惊。不过也许周边的人都习惯了。除了石头吃了一惊之外,旁边的人都眼观口,口观心,静黙不语。

丫头跟所有石头见过的女孩都不一样。这句正确的废话其实想说明的是,丫头很独特。她并不是非常漂亮的那种。但是她的眉,眼,唇都长得很清秀。当她笑起来的时候,你会觉得天空里有一道光照射下来。

有的时候,她的眼睛上会出现一道漂亮的双眼皮,有的时候又会消失几乎不见。

然后那个夏天是一个特别忙乱的夏天。大家手上永远有做不完的事情。石头一会儿被发配到了M国,沒过几天因为当地天灾人灾,兵慌马乱,又撤了回来。

过了一段时间,他又被发到了V国。在H市那个小宾馆里,他的房间里时常被烟雾淹沒着。拨开烟雾,才可以看到石头在他那台小小的笔记本上在疯狂干活。

杜拉斯?梁家辉?情人?石头一个都沒遇到。他只记住了那种永远绵软入骨V国情歌。

想必V国人沒事就爱一回吧?两个星期当他看到“V”这个字的时候,他已经想吐了。兵慌马乱的又撤了回来。

半年以后,再遇到丫头就是在W市了。世界真奇妙。

石头很喜欢这个城市,记忆里,永远都是阳光灿烂,空旷而大气。

丫头永远都是那样的风风火火的。缺少一点女孩的活泼和女人的温柔。

“未来女强人”,石头在丫头的档案上重重的加注了五个字。

“你是摄影师,应该要调动模特的情绪,引导模特来拍照。”丫头突然在桌子的对过特别严肃的说。

丫头今天穿了一件白色的花裙子,戴了一串珍珠项链,让她的脖子显得特别的漂亮。那道小小的锁骨,以及那片小小的阴影,也异常的性感。

“我。。。。”石头作了一串逻辑混乱的解释。丫头特别认真的看着他。然后与石头对视着,仿佛想把石头上的每个秘密看得清清楚楚。

“你调动不了我的情绪。是因为你对我有想法。”

“WHAT?”石头像是被阳光晒过头似的觉得一阵晕眩。

“想法?性幻想?坏想法?“

“你这次来是有目的的。你对我有想法,所以你不敢来调动我。”丫头一字一顿的说。

清澈的眼光坚定不移的看着石头。象是两盏探照灯,抓到了一个正在越狱的犯人。

石头几乎要从椅子上掉下去。这丫头片子还真厉害。连这个她都看出来了。

在探照灯面前,犯人只好尴尬的拍拍手上的灰,故作镇定的吹起口哨,假装只是出来透透气,抽根烟。“有事吗?”

石头故作镇定的看了丫头一眼。伸出一只虚拟的手把虚拟的汗抹掉。“我的想法,我的想法可以真的跟你说吗?”他跟他自己说。“我不就是那点男人的欲望吗?”

不过,他突然想起来了。在来W市的大巴车上,他一再跟自己辩论,要让自己特别的绅士。

“这只是一次愉快的度假。不要有其它想法。”石头把另一个长着角的石头按在墙上大声的嘱咐。 然后两个石头达成了一致。

“我承认我有点喜欢你。主要是上次帮你拍的哪些照片,实是是太吸引人了。”他有点艰难的,寻找词汇,避重就轻。

“那你就是因为我的那些照片,在YY”。丫头象一个剑客一样,把剑锋架到了石头的脖子上。

“YY这个词也未免太难听了。”石头终于找到可以岔开的话题。

“前面那个字是对的。后面那个字,也太不妥当了”。石头抗议。

“好吧。就算你是因为被美所吸引。但是你有对我有很不好的想法。”丫头依然目光如炬。

石头觉得他有点坐不住了。一身冷汗。那个刚才还得意洋洋,长着两个角的石头,悄悄的从后门溜走了。

“在来的路上,我认真的想过。”石头艰难的开口。

“我不想说假话。但是我不喜欢成年人之间的关系。我想保持一种简单的快乐。”他很勉强的解释道。

丫头也许被这些意向十分含糊的词藻给糊弄住了。她收回了目光,不再咄咄逼人。

石头很受挫。本来兴高采烈的心情,变成了一堆泥泞。

一个电话,拯救了两个人。

走出那个咖啡馆的时候,两个人默然不语。石头心情灰暗。

 

10 Cities Facing the Next Real Estate Bust 2009/08/12

Filed under: Uncategorized — rogerwang2046 @ 16:39

August 11, 2009 10:00 AM ET | Rick NewmanPermanent LinkPrint

The worst of the housing bust might finally be over, but another real estate tsunami is about to swamp many American cities. This time, it will be office buildings and retail space going vacant and facing foreclosure.

Like housing, commercial real estate goes through booms and busts, and the coming wipeout is likely to be a doozy. Commercial developers went on their own spending spree earlier this decade, racing to cash in on the hot economy with new office towers, hotel complexes, and retail projects. Banks supplied hundreds of billions of dollars in loans, often assuming that rents paid by tenants would keep going up. “The assumption was that the good times would go on forever,” says Victor Calanog, director of research for REIS, a real-estate-research firm.

[See 10 Cities Primed for a Real Estate Recovery.]

If that mistaken assumption sounds familiar, so will the ramifications. Instead of going up, commercial rents have begun to plunge as companies downsize, warehouses empty, merchants go out of business, and huge retailers like Starbucks and Macy’s close underperforming stores and demand rent reductions. Office and retail vacancy rates are near record levels and going higher, and developers are about to face crunch time as billions in loans come due for repayment or refinancing over the next three years. Like homeowners who are “under water” on their mortgages, many of those developers owe more than their buildings are now worth.

The commercial crunch won’t hit consumers as directly as the housing bust, but they’ll still feel it. A resurgence in construction spending is often the springboard out of a recession, but in dozens of overbuilt areas, it won’t be. Many shopping centers could close completely. Urban development projects have been put on hold or canceled, giving blight a reprieve instead of chasing it out of town. As many as 3,000 banks may face significant losses on commercial real estate loans, according to economist Gary Shilling, which could crimp other lending and even threaten the banks’ solvency as losses start to pile up.

To determine which cities are most vulnerable, U.S. News analyzed data from REIS covering retail and office vacancy rates in the 79 biggest metro areas. At our request, REIS combined its retail and office data into a single commercial vacancy rate for each city, for several time periods. The research firm also provided its 2010 projections for each city.

[See America’s most endangered and most profitable malls.]

To gauge the impact on each city over the coming year, we measured the difference between the commercial vacancy rate in 2008 and the projected rate in 2010. So the cities that landed on our list won’t necessarily have the highest vacancy rates next year, but they’ll experience the biggest increase over a two-year period. In most of these cities, commercial real estate woes are likely to hamper a recovery. In a few, they’ll compound a set of problems that’s already profound. Here’s where the next real estate bust is likely to hit hardest:

Las Vegas (projected commercial vacancy rate, 2010: 18.1 percent, up 6.8 percentage points from 2008). What happens in Vegas depends on the rest of the American economy, and until Americans start to feel wealthy again, travel (and gambling) budgets will remain crimped. Southern Nevada already suffers from one of the worst housing busts in the nation and a 12.3 percent unemployment rate. Vegas had a hot hand earlier this decade, which led to lots of commercial construction. But nearly one fifth of Sin City’s commercial space will stay vacant until tourists, conventioneers, and their cash start to return.

[See 8 industries that will sit out a recovery.]

Baltimore (15.8 percent, up 6.5 points). Several large universities and proximity to recession-resistant Washington, D.C., have propped up Baltimore’s economy, but the city is still exposed to many economic strains. With the nation’s retail sector in a tailspin, shipments in and out of the Port of Baltimore have tanked, leaving acres of vacant warehouses. Other development programs have stalled as businesses have cut back on spending. Mayor Sheila Dixon has also been indicted for suspicious dealings with area developers, casting a pall over Baltimore’s business climate.

Detroit (24.8 percent, up 6.3 points). What else could go wrong in Motor City? Two of the area’s biggest employers, General Motors and Chrysler, declared bankruptcy this year, and the whole auto industry is undergoing severe cutbacks amid the biggest sales plunge in decades. So many companies have left Detroit that there’s barely a rush hour in this once bustling metropolis. If there’s any good news, it’s that prime office space is cheap: Rents have fallen eight years in a row and are likely to drop an additional 13 percent through 2010, according to REIS.

San Bernardino/Riverside, Calif. (15.9 percent, up 6.3 points). The availability of land once made Southern California’s “inland empire” a housing hotbed, with hundreds of mortgage brokers and a booming retail sector. No more. A vicious housing bust could ultimately drive home prices down 65 percent from peak values, and the unemployment rate could hit 16 percent next year. That’s knocked many of the mortgage brokers out of business and devastated the area’s ubiquitous strip malls. Even government jobs have been disappearing, thanks to California’s budget crisis.

[See the industries hurt most by soaring healthcare costs.]

Hartford, Conn. (20.2 percent, up 6 points). A recent survey identified Hartford as one of the first cities to bounce back from the recession, but local economists are doubtful. Many of the city’s insurance firms have slashed jobs in response to the financial meltdown. Aircraft-engine maker Pratt & Whitney may close two local plants, and the Obama administration’s push to end production of the F-22 fighter jet would hurt defense contractors in the area. With little new construction over the past year, most of the increase in vacancies is coming from businesses scaling back or shuttering their operations completely.

Dayton, Ohio (22.8 percent, up 5.9 points). After 125 years in Dayton, NCR is closing up its headquarters and moving to Georgia, taking 1,300 jobs with it and leaving more than a million square feet of office space behind. The collapse of the auto industry has also hurt the area, with several local parts suppliers dependent upon the Detroit automakers. In a survey of the 100 biggest cities, the Brookings Institution ranks Dayton near the bottom in terms of lost jobs and economic output.

New York (12 percent, up 5.9 points). Those lavish Wall Street bonuses you’ve been hearing about are going to a lot fewer bankers. The financial industry, Manhattan’s mainstay, has contracted by about 7 percent over the past year. Other industries have lost even more jobs, causing a sharp reversal in what used to be one of the world’s hottest real estate markets. Office rents skyrocketed in 2006 and 2007, when Wall Street was at its peak, but REIS expects them to fall 28 percent between 2008 and 2010. REIS’s vacancy data for New York include only office space, so the combined vacancy rate including retail space is probably higher than 12 percent.

Charleston, S.C. (16.6 percent, up 5.8 points). The antebellum charm has worn thin as this low-country mecca hopes for tourists to return and trade at its port to pick up. Several ambitious downtown hotel and redevelopment projects have stalled while developers wait for the economy to revive. Elsewhere in the state, manufacturing, retail, and construction companies have shed thousands of jobs, many of them gone for good. When not addressing his extramarital affair, Gov. Mark Sanford attempts to woo new businesses to the state.

Tacoma, Wash. (13.6 percent, up 5.8 points). Shipments are down at the city’s port, one of the nation’s biggest, which has left warehouses vacant and hammered the many area businesses that depend on trade. And many of the region’s most prominent companies, including Microsoft, Boeing, Starbucks, and Washington Mutual—taken over last year by JPMorgan Chase—have been laying off workers, helping push Tacoma’s unemployment rate higher than the state average.

New Haven, Conn. (17.2 percent, up 5.8 points). Education and healthcare have helped stabilize New Haven’s economy, but even Yale University has scaled back development plans and laid off workers, after its famed endowment dropped by $6 billion because of stock market losses. And a long-term shift away from manufacturing toward financial services and other white-collar industries has left the city exposed to the financial meltdown. That means New Haven’s recovery will probably lag the nation’s.